I was having a disscussion with a friend of my over the past couple of days (we’re both fairly conservative) about the state of politics in this country. The amount of times the left side of folk scream out in anger towards the things the right side says (and vice versa). For the record we don’t really like either candidate. We both have issues with Obama’s desire to drive this country towards socialism (which we are directly opposed to) and we don’t like a lot of stuff that McCain says. Neither candidate is as bad as the other side makes them out to be though.
During the course of our coversation I said, I wonder what the recent polls look like. So I did a little digging. As of today, here are the numbers from 2 different websites:
1) RealClearPolitics.com: Obama 49.0 versus McCain’s 43.9
2) CNN Election Tracker: Obama 49.25 (Avg.) versus McCain’s 43.5 (average margin for error: 6.25)
When looking at those it is easy to tell that Obama definitely has a lead on McCain. However, it is not a huge lead. It is also worth noting that Kerry lead Bush in most polls leading up to the election (and please don’t cry “election fraud” as it was never proven substantially, and never tried in court). My point is these polls don’t really show us too much about what will happen in the actual election.
One thing I do want to point out is how much the polls are currently split down the middle (or fairly close to it anyway). If you were to hit most popular internet sites, many of them will praise the works of Barak Obama and villify John McCain. Several media outlets will do this as well. To look at all the praise of Obama and to see/hear/read of the disdain for the republicans last eight years of “reign” and then see the current poll numbers, it can really make one think. Seriously think about it. If you knew nothing but what you read on the net, you’d think that Obama (being the democrate nominee for president) would have a huge lead over the republican candidate. Especially given Bush’s low approval rating. Congress was replaced two years ago because people felt the republicans weren’t doing their jobs, so they obviously had a low approval rating to have a change in congressional party leadership.
However, the race (at least according to the polls) looks to be at a dead heat. The conclusion I have come to is this: While most people might in fact be unhappy with Bush, a large percentage of Americans still hold to basic republican ideals. To put it another way, a large number of people still believe that the republicans have the right idea and agree with it.
Think about it. If it was simply a party issue, republicans are bad and democrates are good then Obama would have a huge lead over McCain. But as it currently stands they’re pretty much neck and neck (especially when you consider the margin for error). But political parties are more than just a side you pick, they represent ideas, principles, and even beliefs. They are an ideology about how things should be done by the people and for the people. The fact McCain has just about half of the numbers in the polls really shows that a lot of people still hold to the ideals of the republican party, even if they don’t like their current figureheads.
Just something to chew on.